Some log5 calculations for Big East teams to contemplate...
Most probable Big East Sweet Sixteen winner -- Louisville 77.1% probability to beat Arizona and send the last Pac-10 team home.
Least probable Big East Sweet Sixteen winner -- Villanova 41.0% chance of beating Duke and reducing the ACC representation to North Carolina.
Most vulnerable Big East #1 seed -- Pittsburgh, with a 68.8% probability of beating Xavier. I still like those odds.
All Big East teams win their Sweet Sixteen games -- 8.2% 5-0 is tough, but not infinitesimal as some may think...
Probability that all Big East #1s advance -- 38.5%...very nice.
Probability that all Big East #1s and Syracuse advance -- 20.0%...still pretty good.
Most probable Big East Sweet Sixteen winner -- Louisville 77.1% probability to beat Arizona and send the last Pac-10 team home.
Least probable Big East Sweet Sixteen winner -- Villanova 41.0% chance of beating Duke and reducing the ACC representation to North Carolina.
Most vulnerable Big East #1 seed -- Pittsburgh, with a 68.8% probability of beating Xavier. I still like those odds.
All Big East teams win their Sweet Sixteen games -- 8.2% 5-0 is tough, but not infinitesimal as some may think...
Probability that all Big East #1s advance -- 38.5%...very nice.
Probability that all Big East #1s and Syracuse advance -- 20.0%...still pretty good.
No comments:
Post a Comment