Showing posts with label FIBA U18 Tournament. Show all posts
Showing posts with label FIBA U18 Tournament. Show all posts

Thursday, July 1, 2010

FIBA America's Cup 2010 -- USA Beats Brazil 81-78

The Gold...Just Barely
Seed and Grouping trumped efficiency in San Antonio last night as Team USA took the gold in the FIBA U18 America's Cup, beating Team Brazil by 3 points, 81-78. The USA Basketball recap notes the American squad had to overcome a five point deficit (63-58) going into the fourth quarter, but went on a 16-5 scoring run to take and hold the lead going to the end. The Brazilians, who have netted three Bronze medals in U18 America's Cup play to this point, tied the game at 78, but Team USA's Quincy Miller, a 6-8 #4/#5 out of Winston-Salem, NC canned a three with 35 ticks left to seal the win. The Brazilians provided the Americans with the toughest competition they faced in this tournament, as they were only one of five teams who held a lead over the Americans coming out of a quarter of play. And this was the only game where the Americans were outscored in more than one of the game's four quarters. The four factors breakdown of the game...

FTA
PaceEffeFGOR%TOR%FGAPPWS
Team USA77.9103.948.539.418.029.91.07
Team Brazil100.147.935.116.717.80.99

The pace (possessions) was a bit below the average used by Team USA (about 84 possessions per game for the tournament), but well within the Brazilian's comfort zone (about 75 possessions per game for the tournament). Team Brazil did better from beyond the arc than Team USA's other opponents. Given their difficulties inside the arc, they might have attempted more than 28% of their shots from outside. Team Brazil managed to offset their shooting difficulties with a lower-than-the-USA percentage of turnovers. Had they matched the USA's number of trips to the line, they may well have had enough scoring opportunities to themselves over the top. That Coach Capel left two players (front court players LeBryan Nash and Amir Williams) on the bench for the first time in five games suggests Team USA valued field goal conversions (their lowest conversion rate in the five game tournament) over rebounds or blocked shots. The player (possession-based) breakdown suggests several players, Trevor Cooney, Vander Blue and Quincy Miller (late game heroics noted) had very different games from the previous four. All three had conversion rates much lower than previous games...

FTA
Player%MinPoss%ORtgeFG%OR%TOR%FGAPPWS
Kyrie Irving92.532.994.447.113.116.929.41.09
Vander Blue62.529.775.650.00.013.87.70.97
Austin Rivers80.022.4112.470.83.814.325.01.43
Josh Hairston37.513.124.10.00.026.2100.00.35
Pat Young70.07.1159.9100.08.726.0300.02.16
Abdul Gaddy10.00.50.30.00.00.00.00.00
Trevor Cooney12.520.50.00.00.050.10.00.00
Quincy Miller55.028.697.935.022.00.040.00.94
J. Richmond42.523.1113.566.77.113.133.31.31
Tony Mitchell37.517.444.020.08.10.00.00.40

Abdul Gaddy and Trevor Cooney saw more action than LeBryan Nash and Amir Williams...but not much more, as each logged five or fewer minutes. Typically the starters logged between 38% and 45% of the available minutes, with the seven other squad members splitting the balance. Against Brazil, the staff kept the starters in for 68% of the minutes. Turnovers continue to plague Vander Blue, negating his 6-13 (0-1, 6-12) night. Austin Rivers posted good numbers, combining efficiency 70.8% eFG%) with prolific shooting (7-12, 3-6, 4-6), but the other "high efficiency" contributors tended to function as the #3 or #4 option on offense.

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

FIBA U18 America's Cup -- 2010

Home Court Advantage?
The FIBA America's Cup is the last U18 American Zone qualifying tournament for the U19 World's Cup play next summer. Tournament sites have varied over the years, but Argentina and San Antonio, TX have become favored sites over the past decade. This year was San Antonio's "turn", and the USA squad has capitalized on the home court advantage to clear Group B play with a 3-0 record. But the record is only a hint at the level of domination exercised by the Americans. The scores -- 131-63 over the US Virgin Islands, 114-38 over Mexico, 88-67 over Argentina -- convey a much better sense of how the Americans have handled the field so far. International basketball competition tends to produce either very close or very large margins of victory for USA teams, at times in the same tournament, but the Argentina scoring difference (a 21 point margin of victory) is a strong indication that this USA team is here to win. The Argentines beat the U18 American team in the 2008 America's Cup, held in Formosa, Argentina, in July. The Argentines, led by Temple guard Juan Fernandez, handed the Americans a 77-64 defeat...and a silver medal. A "four factors" look at the tournament through Group play...

Eff.Offense
TeamGroupPaceDiff.EffeFG%OR%FTA%
USAB84.466.6132.562.751.532.0
ArgentinaB79.836.4105.954.737.547.5
CanadaA82.716.6103.546.943.433.8
BrazilA75.816.0101.848.938.145.1
UruguayA73.4-8.982.742.129.025.5
Puerto RicoA81.9-23.576.838.531.521.1
US V. IslandsB85.7-33.179.039.828.828.8
MexicoB79.1-48.970.435.620.519.9


Eff.Defense
TeamGroupPaceDiff.EffeFG%OR%FTA%
USAB84.466.665.935.818.525.3
ArgentinaB79.836.469.537.127.826.9
CanadaA82.716.686.941.833.624.1
BrazilA75.816.085.840.237.922.9
UruguayA73.4-8.991.643.137.038.5
Puerto RicoA81.9-23.5100.351.633.341.1
US V. IslandsB85.7-33.1112.153.739.839.8
MexicoB79.1-48.9119.357.546.727.7

the USA, Argentina, Brazil and Canada will advance out of group play to compete (single elimination rounds) for the gold, silver and bronze medals. Those four teams all qualified for the 2011 U19 FIBA World Cup with victories on Sunday night (a full round before the end of group play). The Efficiency Difference is calculated by subtracting the Defensive Efficiency from the Offensive Efficiency (ED = OE - DE). Pace (possessions) are calculated using Oliver's basic formula (FGA + TO - OR + (0.45 * FTA). I have tweaked the free throw constant (0.45) a bit over the college game because the teams seem to get to the line less frequently than their American Collegiate counterparts. Like the 2008 American's Cup, nearly everyone, host team excepted, has shooting problems.

The Medal/Placement Rounds
The USA will play Canada, the #2 seed out of Group A, while Argentina will face Brazil. The possession-based stats suggest the Canadians are the stronger team in Group A, but the Canadians lost their last pool game to Brazil, 83-78, to draw the USA in the medal round. Puerto Rico will face the US Virgin Islands and Uruguay will play Mexico to kick off a two round series that will determine places #5 through #8 in this field. If the Group B results are a true reflection of the field, the Argentines may well have been team USA's most competitive game. The Americans may see them again in the Finals Round. Of course single elimination tournaments have been known to produce surprises...